Quotations

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Ian Shepherdson Quotes

«(The GDP and inflation data) won't prevent modest further easing,»
«Despite undershooting the consensus, these numbers do not look too bad to us, ... Confidence might well dip further -- job fears hit a 28-month high this month -- but the big plunge looks to be over.»
«Clearly, this report looks awful, but it does not presage any change in the underlying inflation environment, ... PPI is not driving Fed policy.»
«It's not guaranteed that we're going to get a recession now, though I have to say that the evidence from NAPM is not encouraging,»
«This is a sign that the committee is beginning to think aloud about shifting to a more neutral position - but the forecast of significantly slower growth will have to come first, ... For now, the elevated headline inflation rate and the tight pool of available labor remain bigger concerns, so the Fed's guard is still up.»
«We doubt that this report unambiguously points to slower growth ahead -- but it does mean no rate hike on the 22nd,»
«We doubt that this report unambiguously points to slower growth ahead --but it does mean no rate hike on (Aug.) 22,»
«These data leave confidence very close to its cycle high, and completely unaffected by higher interest rates, ... Together with the rise in home sales also reported today, the data sit very uneasily with Mr. Greenspan's dovish tone last week and again today.»
«This number comes completely out of the blue -- there has been nothing in the anecdotal or survey evidence even hinting at such a massive rebound,»
«Only a few years ago, auto sales numbers like those seen recently would have automatically lead to expectations of higher prices, ... Now, increasing transparency in car prices, substantially due to the Internet, together with the automakers' ability to hold down unit labor costs, means that stronger sales do not necessarily lead to higher prices.»